Colorado Rockies- Prediction 70-92
To break down this division lets go from the bottom up. The Colorado Rockies had a tough go of it last year only managing to win 64 games and finishing an amazing 30 games out of first place. For the Rockies sake we will let bygones be bygones and focus on moving forward. Can Troy Tulowitzki play a full season and avoid the crazy injuries that have plagued him (busting a hand while slamming a bat in frustration in 2008, a wild pitch that busted his wrist in 2010)? Can Carlos Gonzalez continue to develop off of two pretty incredible years? If they do then these two guys should be good for about 60 home runs and 200 runs batted in for the 3/4 slots in the lineup.
Can Tyler Colvin continue to develop heading into his 4 year at the big show? He has a fairly high ceiling but needs to take a step forward. He has enough power and speed to be a 20/20 guy that carries a batting average in the .270-.290 range. Not phenomenal but definitely serviceable. He does need to learn a bit more patience at the plate (280 strikeouts in 1001 career at-bats). Michael Cuddyer needs to play more to the level that the 3yr/$30M contract he signed heading into last year warrants. I just do not see him as the impact player that the Rockies thought he might be. For their sake I hope I am wrong but I am not expecting much more than 15 home runs, 70 runs batted in and a .260 average out of the former Twin.
The Rockies pitching staff is their Achilles heel in my opinion. They carried a flat-out disgusting team ERA of 5.22 in 2012 which was good for dead last in MLB. This was a full half run worse than number 29 Cleveland. They were also bottom third of the league in saves and strikeouts playing 81 games in an altitude conducive to the carry of a baseball.
They do have some quality prospects in the farm system like Nolan Arenado, Trevor Story, Tyler Matzek (if he can fix himself) and Kyle Parker. The only one I can see having a chance at an impact in 2013 is Arenado with the rest a couple of years away still. This formula does not bode well for a team looking to make strides in 2013. But Rockies fans need to stay patient as there is a future here. I cannot see them with a record much better than 70-92 while holding serve in the cellar of the NL West.
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