Fantasy baseball season is right around the corner and it is never too soon to gather as much valuable data as possible. Each person, stat or edge that you can find will go a long way in determining who you should draft and how to structure your team in hopes of winning the 2015 championship.
Below is my breakdown of who I believe will be the top-20 third baseman in fantasy for the 2015 season. You will find a list and a further breakdown of a few select choices in my rankings. Over the next couple of weeks you will find my breakdowns of each major position heading into the new season and before your ever important drafts come due.
The breakdown below is based on a standard 5×5 mixed league with one catcher, first baseman, second baseman, short stop, and third baseman. The roster includes four outfielders, two utility players, four starting pitchers, two relief pitchers, two other pitchers and a five player bench. Obviously much of this data is transferable to numerous different league configurations but I wanted to ensure clarity up front. Let’s get to it and see how the breakdown begins.
|1||Miguel Cabrera||Detroit Tigers|
|2||Adrian Beltre||Texas Rangers|
|3||Anthony Rendon||Washington Nationals|
|4||Josh Donaldson||Toronto Blue Jays|
|5||Todd Frazier||Cincinnati Reds|
|6||Kyle Seager||Seattle Mariners|
|7||Evan Longoria||Tamp Bay Rays|
|8||Chris Davis||Baltimore Orioles|
|9||Matt Carpenter||St Louis Cardinals|
|10||Nolan Arenado||Colorado Rockies|
|11||Josh Harrison||Pittsburgh Pirates|
|12||Manny Machado||Baltimore Orioles|
|13||Carlos Santana||Cleveland Indians|
|14||Kris Bryant||Chicago Cubs|
|15||David Wright||New York Mets|
|16||Brett Lawrie||Oakland Athletics|
|17||Pedro Alvarez||Pittsburgh Pirates|
|18||Lonnie Chisenhall||Cleveland Indians|
|19||Ryan Zimmerman||Washington Nationals|
|20||Chris Johnson||Atlanta Braves|
When position eligibility is taken into account there is no doubt that Miguel Cabrera and Adrian Beltre are the top two options. However, the change in scenery and parks will help Josh Donaldson this year so a return to his 2013 numbers should not be overlooked. He is entering his peak years from a professional perspective and that combination should equate to solid fantasy numbers. Chris Davis is eligible here and you can check out my opinion of him in the first baseman top-20.
Nolan Arenado is trending in the right direction. As a full time player you can expect, especially in Colorado, for the youngster to approach 28-30 home runs, 80 RBI and a .290 average. Considering where he will fall in most drafts, those numbers will be greatly appreciated by all who draft him.
To be or not to be healthy, that is the question for Manny Machado. Injuries have hurt him but he has worked out with his buddy A-Rod so take that for whatever its worth. The reality is that he has 50 double, 20 home run and .300 potential if he can mature. Consider the loss of Nelson Cruz and you are left with a player that will be placed in the lineup where he can produce. While injury is a risk, do not overlook Machado.
David Wright is listed at 16 but can easily surpass those numbers and crack the top-10 if he can return to his 2013 form. The major drawback for Wright will continue to be Citi Field but he can still connect for 20 home runs, 40 doubles and decent average which makes him viable as a draft option with upside.
Lonnie Chisenhall is a player who will not be drafted early but should be on everyone’s radar. He took a huge professional leap forward in 2014 but was it an aberration? This was no contract year so the reality is he is maturing. Why? He hit 100 point higher against lefties in 2014 than 2013 (which was 80 points ahead of 2012). His power numbers have improved and there is no doubt that he is the Indians corner for the years to come. He could be a steal later in drafts.
Top-20 Fantasy Predictions By Position
|First Base Rankings||Catcher Rankings|
|Second Base Rankings||Outfield Rankings|
|Short Stop Rankings||Starting Pitcher Rankings|
|Third Base Rankings||Relief Pitcher Rankings|