Week 11 of the NFL season is upon us and it is time to present the weekly series dedicated to early picks for each NFL game in the coming week. These picks are straight up and not against the spread. Here you get who the home team and away teams are as well as the chosen winner with a little data to back up that opinion. It is just that simple, clear and concise.
You will also get a weekly Lock of the Week. Each week I will pick one game that I feel cannot lose. With that will be supporting data to back up that stance. Obviously each week anything can happen as evident by the Detroit Lions knocking off Aaron Rodgers and crew at home for the first time since 1991. in the NFL but there is always a game that sets itself apart from the others. Can Adrian Peterson and the Vikings take sole control of first place by knocking off the Packers? Will Matt Jones, Kirk Cousins and crew have the recipe to take down Tom Brady and a depleted Patriots roster? Without any further trepidation enjoy the 2015-2016 NFL Week 11 Picks and Predictions, Lock of The Week.
Lock of the Week
Seattle Seahawks over San Francisco 49ers
Yep that’s right, I am taking a team with a losing record as the lock of the week. Of course this is not a normal team but rather a team that is arguably underperforming but is nevertheless where they are. The Seattle Seahawks are suffering more than they expected from the trade that brought Jimmy Graham to Seattle. Russell Wilson does not have time and frankly has made some poor decisions but there are moments when they appear to straighten things out.
Now factor in that the Seahawks are playing at home, where it is always hard for opponents to win games, and things become more challenging for the 49ers. Yes, the Seahawks lost twice this year at home but those losses are against the still undefeated Carolina Panthers and arguably the best team in the NFC, the Arizona Cardinals. The Seahawks and crew already easily handled the 49ers in San Francisco this year.
Marshawn Lynch will probably go which will take pressure off Wilson but even if he is not 100 percent, Thomas Rawls has shown he is more than capable of carrying the load. It is true that the 49ers have looked better at home then on the road which does lean in their favor but Carlos Hyde, if he goes, will not be at 100 percent. Also, I know Blaine Gabbert looked decent in his start but excuse me if it is hard to take a lack of talent around him and his track record in Jacksonville to create an expectation of success against the Seahawks. That being said, this is his time to prove he has matured but one heck of a spot to do it in. I just cannot see a way that Seattle loses this one at home.
2015 Lock of the Week Record: 9-1-0
|8:30||Tennessee Titans||Jacksonville Jaguars||Jaguars|
|The Jags won last week in a game that the NFL admitted to screwing up. The Titans could not be saved by the league. The combo of Bortles (who is coming into his own), Robinson, Hurns and crew are just enough to get the job done.|
|1:00||Indianapolis Colts||Atlanta Falcons||Falcons|
|The Colts got a big win last out and stay on top of a horrible division. The Falcons have been struggling of late but got last week to rest and regroup. Who knows what you will get with the Colts especially without Luck. I take the team with a full compliment.|
|1:00||St Louis Rams||Baltimore Ravens||Ravens|
|The Rams have one player in Gurley but that is where it ends on a horrid offense. Foles is benched after another poor showing. The Ravens should have won last week and have more than enough firepower to win at home.|
|1:00||Washington Redskins||Carolina Panthers||Panthers|
|The Redskins output last week cost Rob Ryan his job with the Saints. This defense in Carolina is nothing like that one. Don’t expect 40+ again. Newton will confuse the Redskins and don't be surprised if Cousins gets tricked into a pick 6.|
|1:00||Denver Broncos||Chicago Bears||Bears|
|Who would have thought this game would be talked about as the Bears being the team with a QB.The Broncos Def is great but the team can't run and who knows about Brock. If the Bears score 17 it will probably be enough.|
|1:00||Oakland Raiders||Detroit Lions||Raiders|
|The Lions went on the road to GB and erased a curse since 91. It is hard believe they won with all the mistakes that were made. I am willing to chalk it up as one great day. The Raiders can score and they have a legitimate 1a and 1b at WR. It will be close but I see the Raiders winning on the road.|
|1:00||New York Jets||Houston Texans||Texans|
|The Jets are a good team but they have not delivered since the competition got tougher. The Texans won two in a row and just knocked off the Bengals. New Qi is a bit scary but should be enough if the defense repeats.|
|1:00||Dallas Cowboys||Miami Dolphins||Dolphins|
|The savior returns are Romo is under center again. There will be dust to knock off for sure as chemistry needs to be re-established. The Dolphins defense locked down the Eagles the last three quarters en route to a win last out. I give the Dolphins the edge at home this week but watch Dallas going forward.|
|1:00||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||Philadelphia Eagles||Bucs|
|Tampa comes in off an ugly win against Dallas. The Eagles roll with the Sanchize after the loss of Bradford and the game barring a shocker. Winston and Evans are in lock step now and who knows what the Eagles bring from week to week. In a toss up I take the Bucs.|
|4:05||Kansas City Chiefs||San Diego Chargers||Chargers|
|The Chiefs and an injury made Peyton look his career worst in an impressive win last week. The Chargers return off the bye to see if Rivers can stay hot. They should be rested and ready. Alex Smith cannot win a shootout and I am not positive that West can control the ball. In a close one I like the Chargers.|
|4:25||Green Bay Packers||Minnesota Vikings||Vikings|
|The Curse of Ditka is alive! Obviously not real but since Ditka wore Packers gear the team is 0-3. I hate to say it but they have looked bad lately and got the breaks last week and could not beat Detroit at home. The Vikings are 7-1 since losing the opener. Defense is solid, AP is good and Teddy has a real deep threat. The Vikings take the division lead with a home win.|
|4:25||San Francisco 49ers||Seattle Seahawks||Seahawks|
|Russell Wilson continues to look out of sorts and they are not running like they should but this is the 49ers, the Seahawks are at home and Sherman won't be exposed in back to back weeks.|
|8:30||Cincinnati Bengals||Arizona Cardinals||Cardinals|
|The Texans screwed it up because this is where I thought the Bengals would get their first loss. They looked horrible last week and should rebound a bit but… The Cardinals are quietly really really good and probably the best overall team in the NFC. Palmer is playing to MVP levels and the defense does enough. I love the Cardinals at home.|
|8:30||Buffalo Bills||New England Patriots||Patriots|
|Foxboro is tough place for Rex Ryan. The Patriots are without Lewis and Edelman. The Bills have a full crew (at least at skill). But the Patriots find a way to win and plug and play players and schemes better than any other team. My gut wants to say Buffalo but my head says Patriots.|
Do you think the upsets will pan out? Weigh in with your thoughts and let’s talk about it. So what did you think of the 2015-2016 NFL Week 11 Picks and Predictions, Lock of The Week? Do you agree? Disagree? Let’s hear your thoughts.