The All-Star break is here and one of the sporting events that captures every young kid’s imagination is tonight. Eight men will compete to see who can crush the most baseballs out of the outfield and into the stands. While there are kids across the country throwing down dunks that you can see at anytime on YouTube, very few people can hit a baseball as far as these guys can.
Defending Derby champ, Giancarlo Stanton, is the number one seed and favorite in this year’s bracket as he looks to win in front of his home crowd this year. Stanton will face off with the Yankees’ Gary Sanchez. So far this year, Stanton has 26 home runs compared to Sanchez’s 13. Stanton won’t have any trouble with this first round matchup and will advance to the semifinals easily.
Stanton will face the winner of Mike Moustakas and Miguel Sano in the semis. Moustakas has 25 dingers this year against Sano’s 21. This matchup will be the best first round matchup with Sano edging Moustakas for a berth in the semifinals.
On the other side of the bracket is the rookie sensation, Aaron Judge, as the two seed. He’ll be matched up with Justin Bour of the Marlins. Judge has the edge if you look at home runs this season with 30 home runs versus 20 for Bour. Aaron Judge is a dominate force and will easily win this round on his way to the semis.
In the final first round matchup, Dodgers’ rookie, Cody Bellinger will face the Rockies’ Charlie Blackmon. Bellinger has a 4 home run advantage when it comes to season totals. While the totals are as close as the Sano/Moustakas matchup, I don’t think this matchup will be as close with Bellinger winning with a little bit of breathing room.
In the semis, Stanton will face Sano. Stanton will continue to ride the momentum of his home crowd to beat Sano. It will be much closer than Stanton’s first matchup, but he still won’t have to worry too much about it as he cruises to the finals. On the other side of the bracket we’ll see a very good matchup of Bellinger and Judge. The two are had two great first halves of the season. In the battle of the incredible rookies. Judge only has 5 more home runs in 14 more games. Judge is hitting .0997 HR/AB, while Bellinger is hitting .0973 HR/AB. Judge will slip past Bellinger in a close competition.
In the final, we’ll see an incredible matchup between Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton. Judge has the advantage if you look at the number of homers so far this season. His 30 home runs are the most home runs ever for a Yankees’ rookie. Stanton is still considered the favorite and is playing in front of his home crowd. I think this round might be the only one to go to a “swing-off.” It’s going to be close and it’s going to be the heavyweight showdown everyone wants to see. Going back to the HR/AB stat, Judge has .0997, but Stanton only has .08 HR/AB. Despite playing in front of his home crowd, I think Giancarlo falls to Judge and the rookie is crowned Derby champ.