2013 British Open Odds, Predictions, Contenders and Pick to Win | Respect the Crown | Sports Unbiased

2013 British Open Odds, Predictions, Contenders and Pick to Win

The Open Championship British Open 2013Predicting who will be a contender and forecast who should be the favorite are no small feats in any golf tournament especially the British Open. In fact if you look at the opening betting odds for this year’s British Open you can see nobody is a huge favorite save Tiger Woods.

An event like the British Open has more variables than anyone can imagine from course conditions, to trips over the Atlantic, to weather and so on. The linemakers have their opinions but that is not the end all be all nor should it be treated as such.

 Here are the top betting choices in this year’s Open Championship.

 

Player

Odds

Tiger Woods

13-2

Adam Scott

18-1

Justin Rose

18-1

Rory McIlroy

18-1

Lee Westwood

20-1

Luke Donald

20-1

Graeme McDowell

22-1

Ernie Els

25-1

Jason Day

25-1

Phil Mickelson

25-1

Segio Garcia

25-1

Sure I could sit here and tell you Tiger Woods will win the British Open this week like many have already done but I just can’t bring myself to do because I just do not believe it. Can he win? Sure, he is Tiger Woods. Would I be completely shocked if he did win? No, he is Tiger Woods. However, when you have not played due to an injured elbow that was aggravated at the US Open it does not bode well. Couple that with the 81 Tiger fired here at Muirfield in the 2002 makes me uneasy to take him on top. Yes I understand he fired a brilliant final round in 2002 but the 81 shows that this course can eat his lunch on a bad day. If you wonder what makes Muirfiled so challenging or just want a preview of this year’s event you can check out my 2013 British Open Preview: The Open Championship at Murfield article already available.

But if not Tiger then who? I evaluated everyone in the field and attempted to predict who will play well and who will not enjoy anything more than the scenery that Scotland can provide. More than any other major the British Open at Muirfield does not lend itself to an upstart breaking through. The past 65 years, which encompasses the last eight times Muirfield has hosted the British Open, have all seen known players win the title. When the list of past winners over that span of time include Els, Faldo (twice), Watson, Trevino, Nicklaus, Player and Cotton it shows that a skilled and seasoned player has an apparent advantage at Muirfield.

With that as one of the dozens of factors used to evaluate and predict positive performance I present my contenders for the 2013 British Open.

The Contenders

Image Courtesy of Reuters

Image Courtesy of Reuters

Ernie Els: He has made the cut in eight of 11 events on the PGA Tour this season with four top-25s and one top-10. With those numbers people would ask why he is on my list. His European tour stats have him fifth in the Race for Dubai and he has been on form as of late. He just missed the cut in Scotland but he could never figure out those greens. His previous two events on tour are a tie for 6th and a win at the BMW International Open He is also the double defending champion of the British Open meaning he won last year and in 2002, the last time the British Open was played at Muirfield. The 40 something still has another major in him and why not this week at a familiar place.

 

Image Courtesy of Getty Images

Image Courtesy of Getty Images

Zach Johnson: Obviously over the first two rounds at this week’s John Deere Classic Zach is showing he is on form heading into the British Open. He has played in 16 events making the cut in 12 of them. Of those 12 he has four top-25s, a top-10 and a third place finish with this week’s event still to be decided. Zach has shown that he is finally starting to handle links golf at a high level. In 2007 he finished tied for 20th in the British Open and his last two years have yielded a tie for 16th in 2011 and a tie for ninth last year. He is 17th on tour in driving accuracy this season and more importantly he is first in sand saves and tied for 13th in green in regulation this week heading to the weekend. All will prove vital if they can be carried to Muirfield.

 

Image Courtesy of Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Image Courtesy of Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Justin Rose: He has only played in 10 events on the PGA Tour the season making the cut in nine of them including nine top-25s, five top-10s, a second place finish and his first major championship at the US Open. Over all his last three starts are a tie for eighth, a win and a tie for 13th at the Travelers. In his career he has a couple of top-15s in the British Open as well as tie for 22nd the last time the event was at Muirfield. This season on the European tour he is first in the Race for Dubai. Some stats in his favor leading up to the British Open are leading the tour in total driving, being second in all-around, first in sand save percentage and 11th in scrambling.

 

Image Courtesy of USAT Sports

Image Courtesy of USAT Sports

Sergio Garcia: Love him or hate him he is a factor at this year’s British Open. On the PGA Tour this year he has made the cut in all nine of his starts amassing seven top-25s, four top-10s, and a third place finish at the Cadillac Championship. He has five exclusive starts on the European Tour with his worst being a tie for 17th. His last start at the BMW International Open yielded a tie for seventh. In the British Open he has eight top-10s, three top-5s and a tie for eighth the last time the event was at Muirfield. In 2013 he is 40th on tour in total putting, fourth in the all-around, second in strokes gained putting, and second in bounce back all of which will play to his advantage in Scotland.

 

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